Nonfiction
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viii, 263 pages ; 24 cm
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The case for robot umpires: How anchoring bias influence strike zones and everything else -- Never judge an iceberg by its tip: How availability bias shapes the way commentators talk about sports -- Winning despite your best efforts: Outcome bias and why winning can be the most misleading stat of all -- But this is how we've always done it: Why groupthink alone doesn't make baseball myths true -- For every Clayton Kershaw there are ten Kasey Kikers: Base-rate neglect and why it's still a bad idea to draft high school pitchers in the first round -- History is written by the survivors: pitch count bingo and why "Nolan Ryan" isn't a counterargument -- Cold water on hot streaks: Recency bias and the danger of using just the latest data to predict the future -- Grady Little's long eighth-inning walk: Status quo and why doing nothing is the easiest bad call -- Tomorrow, this will be someone else's problem: How moral hazard distorts decision-making for GMs, college coaches, and more -- Pete Rose's Lionel Hutz defense: The principal-agent problem and how misaligned incentives shape bad baseball decisions -- Throwing good money after bad: The sunk cost fallacy and why teams don't "eat" money -- The happy fun ball: Optimism bias and the problem of seeing what we want to see -- Good decisions: Baseball executives talk about their thought processes behind smart trades and signings
Keith Law applies Daniel Kahneman's ideas about decision making to the game of baseball, and deepens our knowledge of the sport in this fun and deeply informative book